BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Mt St Mary's

Class: 1 Class Rank: 307 Conference: Metro Atlantic Record: (7-13) Overall: (11-18) Overall Strength =   24.39

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L    13.76  45 101    1   9 ( 27-  4) Virginia Tech         -10.04 *  -45.96                      
  2 11-10-2022 Away    L     5.56  44  87    1 109 ( 20- 10) Richmond              -18.24    -24.76                      
  3 11-13-2022 Away    L    18.28  38  86    1  26 ( 20- 11) NC State               -5.53 *  -42.47                      
  4 11-19-2022 Home    W    20.41  68  59    1 357 (  1- 29) Navy                   -3.39     12.39                      
  5 11-21-2022 Away    L    28.75  61  66    1 268 ( 10- 17) Cornell                 4.94     -9.94                      
  6 12-03-2022 Home    W    27.79  73  66    1 320 ( 10- 20) Loyola MD               3.98      3.02                      
  7 12-07-2022 Home    W    25.58  88  61   ZZ  96 (  0-  2) Pitt-Johnstown          1.77     25.23                      
  8 12-10-2022 Home    W    30.12  63  57    1 289 ( 14- 15) UMBC                    6.31     -0.31                      
  9 12-17-2022 Away    L *  14.17  46  64    1 262 ( 13- 16) Manhattan              -9.63     -8.37                      
 10 12-19-2022 Home    W *  35.41  65  59    1 241 ( 18- 12) Siena                  11.60     -5.60                      
 11 12-22-2022 Neutral L    21.13  62  75    1 199 ( 23-  9) ETSU                   -2.67    -10.33                      
 12 12-29-2022 Home    L *  22.37  56  62    1 254 ( 15- 14) Fairfield              -1.44     -4.56                      
 13 12-31-2022 Away    L *  28.78  52  64    1 160 ( 21-  8) Qunnipiac               4.97    -16.97                      
 14 01-07-2023 Home    W *  40.83  74  52    1 335 (  9- 20) Rider                  17.02      4.98                      
 15 01-12-2023 Away    L *  21.64  44  63    1 166 ( 23-  6) Ioan                   -2.17    -16.83                      
 16 01-14-2023 Home    W *  30.51  68  58    1 322 (  9- 20) Canisius                6.70      3.30                      
 17 01-19-2023 Home    L *  18.94  77  83    1 284 ( 12- 17) Marist                 -4.87     -1.13                      
 18 01-21-2023 Away    W *  33.59  61  42    1 359 (  0- 29) St Peter's              9.78      9.22                      
 19 01-26-2023 Away    L *  32.49  53  54    1 254 ( 15- 14) Fairfield               8.68     -9.68                      
 20 01-28-2023 Home    L *  10.17  54  73    1 244 ( 17- 11) Niagara               -13.64     -5.36                      
 21 02-02-2023 Away    L *  19.06  54  65    1 284 ( 12- 17) Marist                 -4.75     -6.25                      
 22 02-04-2023 Away    W *  36.53  77  75 1  1 241 ( 18- 12) Siena                  12.72    -10.72                      
 23 02-11-2023 Home    W *  19.47  65  55    1 359 (  0- 29) St Peter's             -4.34     14.34                      
 24 02-16-2023 Home    L *  15.66  55  75    1 160 ( 21-  8) Qunnipiac              -8.15    -11.85                      
 25 02-18-2023 Home    L *  22.52  37  50    1 166 ( 23-  6) Ioan                   -1.29    -11.71                      
 26 02-23-2023 Away    L *  14.95  59  68 1  1 335 (  9- 20) Rider                  -8.86     -0.14                      
 27 02-25-2023 Home    L *  20.05  45  52    1 262 ( 13- 16) Manhattan              -3.76     -3.24                      
 28 03-02-2023 Away    W *  36.63  55  44    1 322 (  9- 20) Canisius               12.82     -1.82                      
 29 03-04-2023 Away    L *  25.29  52  61    1 244 ( 17- 11) Niagara                 1.48    -10.48                      
      Averages              23.81  58.3 64.7

Best game:   40.83 = 22 point win over Rider
Worst game:   5.56 = 43 point loss to Richmond
Team stdev:   8.60